H08 · Cognition and Decisions
Cognitive biases and thinking errors
Guarding against confirmation bias, survivorship bias, Pygmalion expectations, the fallacy of misplaced concreteness and System 1 snap judgements.
Cues
Showing 3 of 3 cues
Inside-versus-outside comparison error
We compare our intimate knowledge of our own weakness and vacillation with the faultless public image of great figures, and feel presumptuous. The great felt the same doubts but overrode them.
Mental modelCognitive biases and thinking errorsStatus anxiety and wealth comparison2 more related links
Survivorship bias: the tale of forgotten failures
Survivorship bias skews judgement when we study only visible winners and ignore the silent graveyard of failures who used the exact same traits or strategies.
Mental modelCognitive biases and thinking errorsMental models and decision quality2 more related links
Fallacy of misplaced concreteness
Mistaking abstract concepts for concrete reality: abstracting away life, value and purpose to model billiard balls or rockets, then falsely concluding that concrete reality itself is senseless, valueless and purposeless.
Mental modelCognitive biases and thinking errorsMental models and decision quality2 more related links